Outlook Online 2009
Sea level rise
Lough., 2007:
"Observed
As global climate warms, sea level rises due to thermal expansion of the oceans and the contribution of additional water through the melting of mountain glaciers and continental ice sheets. As a result, global average sea level appears to be rising at a rate of 1 to 2mm per year.
The observed trend in sea level for Cape Ferguson, near Townsville, from September 1991 through May 2006 is 2.9mm per year.
Projected
If the observed acceleration in sea level rise continues to 2100, then global sea level would be 310 ± 30 mm higher than in 1990. This corresponds to the middle of the IPCC projected range of 180 to 590 mm of the IPCC by 2100 (Table SPM.1).
These ranges may however, be higher as the Greenland ice sheet appears to be melting faster than expected. There will also be regional variations in the magnitude of sea level rise due to local tectonic changes (though these are minimal in Australia), ocean circulation patterns and interannual variability modulated, for example, by ENSO events.
Continued sea level rise is a certainty and even if greenhouse gas emissions were halted at 2000 levels, sea level would continue to rise at about 10 cm per century due to thermal inertia of the climate system and ‘substantial long-term change may be impossible to avoid’."
IPCC, 2007:
Figure SPM.1 (b): Observed changes in global average sea level from tide gauge (blue) and satellite (red) data. All differences are relative to corresponding averages for the period 1961-1990. Smoothed curves represent decadal averaged values while circles show yearly values. The shaded areas are the uncertainty intervals estimated from a comprehensive analysis of known uncertainties (Source IPCC SPM).

IPCC, 2007:
Table SPM.1: Projected global average surface warming and sea level rise at the end of the 21st century [for six IPCC emissions scenarios]. Note that 'The projections do not include uncertainties in climate-carbon cycle feedbacks nor the full effects of changes in ice sheet flow, therefore the upper values of the ranges are not to be considered upper bounds for sea level rise'.

Citation and/or URL
Spatial Coverage
All of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park as well as adjacent catchments
Temporal Coverage
This volume is a compilation of information collected from many sources and spanning many time frames
Update Frequency
Not applicable as this report is a compilation
Other Information
None
-
Free Zoning Maps
If you're heading out on the water, don't forget your free Zoning Map so you know where you can go and what you can do.
-
Whale of a time
The Great Barrier Reef is a hive of activity. If you're lucky enough to see a humpback whale from May to September, make sure you keep a safe distance.
-
Important milestone
We're delighted to celebrate the 30th anniversary of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park's World Heritage listing.
-
Visit the Reef
Visit our Great Barrier Reef and discover its amazing plants, animals and habitats. There are a range of tourism experiences on offer.
-
What you can do
Everyone has a role to play in protecting our Great Barrier Reef. Find out what you can do to help protect this Great Australian icon.
-
Report marine strandings
If you see sick, dead or stranded marine animals please call RSPCA QLD 1300 ANIMAL
(1300 264 625) -
Climate Change and the Great Barrier Reef
A Vulnerability Assessment: of the issues that could have far-reaching consequences for the Great Barrier Reef.

Print Page