Outlook Online 2009

Map of predicted vulnerability of coral reefs to climate change

Fabricius et al., 2007:

"This assessment, graphically summarised in Figures 17.2 and 17.3, suggests that at a regional scale, the far northern region, and in particular its offshore reefs, may have the most favorable spatial, biological and physical conditions within the GBR, supporting their relative greater resilience to climate change. In contrast, inshore reefs of the southern and central regions of the GBR appear to have the least favorable environmental conditions, exposing them to the greatest probability of long-term damage from climate change. However, it is very important to stress that the spatial pattern proposed here is preliminary, purely qualitative and conceptual. It will need to be rigorously tested using quantitative information and a formal risk mapping approach, to test and verify the apparent spatial patterns in the vulnerability of the main GBR regions to climate change. The relevance and relative importance of the different factors in protecting coral reefs will vary considerably spatially and temporally."

Map_of_coral_reef_vulnerability_CC 

  


Citation and/or URL

Fabricius, K.E., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Johnson, J., McCook, L.M. and Lough, J., 2007, Chapter 17, Vulnerability of coral reefs of the Great Barrier Reef to climate change,  In Climate Change and the Great Barrier Reef: A Vulnerability Assessment, eds. Johnson, J.E. and Marshall, P.A. Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, p.515-554.


Source

Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority 


Spatial Coverage

Reef-wide 


Temporal Coverage

 Not applicable - a synthesis form many sources


Update Frequency

 Not applicable - a synthesis form many sources


Other Information

 None 

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