Current conditions on the Reef
Each summer, we assess the health of reefs, as this part of the year poses a greater risk of extreme weather, particularly heat waves, cyclones and flooding.
Stressful conditions can lead to coral disease outbreaks, while poor water quality may make coral more susceptible to bleaching and lead to greater numbers of coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish.
It’s important we have accurate, real time information on Reef conditions. Members of the public can report observations of coral bleaching, disease, predation or damage through the Eye on the Reef program.
Everyone can help support the Reef’s health and resilience by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, following responsible reef practices, including abiding by Marine Park zoning rules, not anchoring close to corals and responsibly disposing of litter.
Update 5: 12 April 2017
Overview of environmental conditions
Since December 2016, the Great Barrier Reef has been exposed to heat stress from above average sea surface temperatures. Current daily sea surface temperature anomalies within the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park generally range from 0.5o C to over 3o C higher than long-term monthly averages.
On 28 March 2017, severe tropical cyclone Debbie (category 4) crossed the Queensland coast at Airlie Beach. On becoming an ex-tropical cyclone, the system then brought torrential rainfall and widespread flooding to parts of the Central and Southern regions of the Great Barrier Reef catchment.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s April to June seasonal outlook for Queensland indicates that the southern two-thirds of the state are likely to experience hotter than average conditions and average rainfall, while the northern third is likely to experience average temperatures and higher than average rainfall.
The Bureau’s predictive modelling for the Great Barrier Reef indicates that sea surface temperatures are likely to decrease to average or slightly below average between April and June.
The 2016–2017 cyclone season (November – April) is drawing to a close. Predictions were for an average number of cyclones.
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral; however recent changes in both the tropical Pacific Ocean and atmosphere mean there is now an El Niño watch, with a 50 per cent likelihood of an El Niño forming during 2017.
Overview of coral reef health reports
On 10 March 2017, the agency confirmed mass coral bleaching was underway on the Great Barrier Reef for the second consecutive year. The unprecedented heat stress experienced during summer 2015–2016, along with a warmer than average winter in 2016, means that corals have been under continued stress and were potentially more susceptible to bleaching and disease in early 2017.
The ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies conducted a comprehensive set of aerial surveys to determine the extent and severity of the 2017 bleaching event. Initial results (see maps showing bleaching scores for reefs at either end of the bleaching spectrum) indicate that the general footprint of the 2017 bleaching event extends further south than the 2016 bleaching event. Reports of coral bleaching and high incidences of coral disease have also continued to come in through various networks.
On 28 March 2017, severe tropical cyclone Debbie (category 4) crossed the Queensland coast at Airlie Beach. Based on the cyclone’s characteristics, it is predicted that there is likely to be a high level of damage to reefs, islands, mangroves, seagrass meadows and other marine systems located along the cyclone’s path. The Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority and Queensland Parks and Wildlife Service conducted initial in-water surveys of the Whitsundays Islands in early April.
These surveys have revealed that some sites have suffered significant damage and are down to very low coral cover, while others received less damage and still have moderate coral cover. Studies following previous extreme weather events revealed that even within severely damaged reefs, there were often areas that were relatively undamaged. These areas are critical for providing the next generation of corals and assisting with reef recovery. The full extent and severity of the damage to the region is yet to be determined.
Teams from the crown-of-thorns starfish control program have been assisting with surveys and reef recovery actions in the wake of the bleaching and cyclone events. The teams have also continued with scheduled crown-of-thorns starfish culling on selected reefs in the Cairns–Cooktown and Townsville-Whitsundays management areas to help protect corals. Since July 2015 more than 60,000 starfish have been culled from reefs of high tourism and ecological value in the Marine Park.
Want to help us keep an eye on the Great Barrier Reef?
Find out more about how you can get involved in our monitoring programs.
Detailed information on sea surface temperature, tropical cyclones, rainfall levels and flood plumes to date.Read more on Latest detailed observed forecast and environmental conditions
A Vulnerability Assessment: of the issues that could have far-reaching consequences for the Great Barrier Reef.
Current Conditions: Environmental and climatic forecasts for the Great Barrier Reef